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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 16, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
 

Reading Women
0 - 1
Arsenal Women


Primmer (41'), Woodham (45+2'), Cooper (63'), Bryson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Blackstenius (30')
McCabe (61'), Foord (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Reading Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton Women 2-1 Reading Women
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax Vrouwen 0-1 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, September 28 at 6pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Reading Women 0-3 Arsenal Women

Reading are already struggling for form and while the season may only be in its infancy, the Royals will be wary of dropping too far behind the pace. While they may be desperate for at least one point, it is not going to arrive this weekend, with Arsenal likely winners in the WSL's evening kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 87.63%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.45%) and 0-4 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.29%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Reading WomenDrawArsenal Women
3.16% (0.05 0.05) 9.21% (0.093999999999999 0.09) 87.63% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Both teams to score 33.67% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.28% (-0.158 -0.16)33.72% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.45% (-0.181 -0.18)55.54% (0.177 0.18)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.48% (0.17 0.17)64.52% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.2% (0.072 0.07)92.79% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.89% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)5.1% (0.055099999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.71% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)20.29% (0.162 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Reading Women 3.16%
    Arsenal Women 87.62%
    Draw 9.21%
Reading WomenDrawArsenal Women
1-0 @ 1.44% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 3.16%
1-1 @ 4.29% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.29% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 9.21%
0-2 @ 14.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 14.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-4 @ 10.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.044 0.04)
0-5 @ 6.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.33% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-6 @ 3.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-7 @ 1.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 87.62%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 7.15pm
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
0-4
Arsenal Women

Rowe (23')
Beattie (17'), Mead (30'), Miedema (32', 50')
McCabe (84')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
1-1
Arsenal Women
Bruton (5')
Fishlock (58')
Miedema (40')
Wubben-Moy (26'), Walti (76')
Sep 6, 2020 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
6-1
Reading Women
Little (15'), Miedema (33', 78'), Roord (40', 63', 81')
Maritz (42'), Maier (83')
Carter (89')
Bruton (56'), Fishlock (60'), Harding (69')
rhs 2.0
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