Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 67.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.