Watford1 - 0Oxford Utd
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship
for
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
for
We said: Watford 3-1 Oxford United
Aiming to maintain their near-perfect record at Vicarage Road this season, we see Watford having the quality to come out on top in another high-scoring contest on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Oxford United |
53.8% ( -0.07) | 23.82% ( 0.03) | 22.38% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.08) | 48.31% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.07) | 70.46% ( 0.07) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -0.05) | 17.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0.09) | 48.65% ( 0.09) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.2% ( -0.01) | 72.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 22.38% |
