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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Oxford United

Watford
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 3-1 Oxford United

Aiming to maintain their near-perfect record at Vicarage Road this season, we see Watford having the quality to come out on top in another high-scoring contest on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawOxford United
53.8% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.82% (0.026 0.03) 22.38% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)48.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)70.46% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.87% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)48.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.79%
    Oxford United 22.38%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Watford vs Oxford Utd

Watford
80.6%
Draw
11.0%
Oxford United
8.4%
155
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Watford
(Aggregate 1-1 | Watford win 3-0 on penalties)
Hall (26')
Sema (89')
Navarro (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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