MX23RW : Sunday, March 23 08:42:19| >> :60:54:54:
Luxembourg national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Sweden national football team

Luxembourg
1 - 0
Sweden

Korac (23')
Jans (31'), Carlson (74'), Curci (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Karlstrom (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Luxembourg and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 N. Ireland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 6-0 Azerbaijan
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Luxembourg 0-5 Sweden

Sweden's immense form in the final third makes them favourites, particularly given they could field both Isak and Gyokeres together. Additionally, Luxembourg have struggled for some time and have often been beat, and they are unlikely to avoid defeat on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
LuxembourgDrawSweden
28.02% (-0.64 -0.64) 24.27% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 47.71% (0.558 0.56)
Both teams to score 56.81% (-0.748 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (-0.773 -0.77)45.38% (0.773 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.743 -0.74)67.71% (0.744 0.74)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.24% (-0.85499999999999 -0.85)29.76% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.17% (-1.05 -1.05)65.82% (1.05 1.05)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)19.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24% (-0.131 -0.13)50.75% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 28.02%
    Sweden 47.71%
    Draw 24.27%
LuxembourgDrawSweden
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 28.02%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.186 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.285 0.29)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.217 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.15%
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.71%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Sweden

Luxembourg
Draw
Sweden
Luxembourg
11.8%
Draw
5.9%
Sweden
82.4%
17
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2017 5pm
Group Stage
Sweden
8-0
Luxembourg
Granqvist (10' pen., 67' pen.), Berg (18', 37', 54', 71'), Lustig (60'), Toivonen (76')
Oct 7, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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