MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 22:58:35| >> :120:9893:9893:
Estonia national football team
Nations League | League C
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Sweden national football team

Estonia
vs.
Sweden

Coverage of the Nations League League C clash between Estonia and Sweden.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Estonia vs. Azerbaijan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Slovakia vs. Sweden
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw has a probability of 20.1% and a win for Estonia has a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.04%) and 0-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Estonia win it is 2-1 (5.01%).

Result
EstoniaDrawSweden
18.38% (-1.814 -1.81) 20.11% (-1.886 -1.89) 61.5% (3.695 3.7)
Both teams to score 58.68% (3.356 3.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (5.934 5.93)37.15% (-5.941 -5.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (6.135 6.14)59.35% (-6.142 -6.14)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (1.609 1.61)33.57% (-1.614 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (1.717 1.72)70.21% (-1.723 -1.72)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (2.979 2.98)11.66% (-2.984 -2.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (6.056 6.06)36.71% (-6.062 -6.06)
Score Analysis
    Estonia 18.38%
    Sweden 61.5%
    Draw 20.11%
EstoniaDrawSweden
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-0 @ 4.27% (-1.109 -1.11)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.479 -0.48)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 18.38%
1-1 @ 9.18% (-1.149 -1.15)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-1.238 -1.24)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.11%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.04% (-0.469 -0.47)
0-1 @ 8.41% (-1.487 -1.49)
1-3 @ 7.07% (0.707 0.71)
0-3 @ 6.48% (0.386 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.86% (0.535 0.54)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.743 0.74)
0-4 @ 3.48% (0.554 0.55)
2-4 @ 2.07% (0.476 0.48)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.458 0.46)
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.372 0.37)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 61.5%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 7.45pm
League C
Sweden
3-0
Estonia
Gyokeres (30', 44'), Isak (40')

Palumets (50'), Tamm (89')
Palumets (62')
Jan 12, 2024 6pm
Friendlies 1
Sweden
2-1
Estonia
Nanasi (30'), Kiese Thelin (53')
Eriksson (39')
Palumets (19')
Mihhailov (35'), Andre Vallner (84')
Nov 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Sweden
2-0
Estonia
Claesson (22'), Forsberg (55')
Helander (72')

Kuusk (69'), Poom (90+1')
Sep 9, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-5
Sweden

Mets (14')
Gyokeres (18'), Kulusevski (24'), Isak (39'), Quaison (75'), Claesson (90+2')
Hien (21')
Mar 31, 2021 4.45pm
Friendlies 1
Sweden
1-0
Estonia
Berg (4')
Sema (61'), Svanberg (80')

Kirss (52'), Purg (73'), Anier (76')
rhs 2.0
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