MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 17:49:29| >> :600:2154642:2154642:
Sweden national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Friends Arena
Estonia national football team

Sweden
2 - 0
Estonia

Claesson (22'), Forsberg (55')
Helander (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kuusk (69'), Poom (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Sweden and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Austria81019
2Belgium71317
3Sweden707
4Azerbaijan7-57
5Estonia7-181
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Austria81019
2Belgium71317
3Sweden707
4Azerbaijan7-57
5Estonia7-181

We said: Sweden 3-0 Estonia

Determined to finish off an awful qualifying campaign by sending Janne Andersson on his way with a win, Sweden should complete a double over Estonia, who are destined to finish rock-bottom of Group F. An overhaul will be needed in the months ahead, but the Blagult still have enough ability to put one of Europe's weakest sides to the sword. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sweden in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sweden.

Result
SwedenDrawEstonia
71.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 17.25% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.218 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)40.75% (0.264 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)63.13% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)9.98% (0.0799 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.01% (-0.182 -0.18)32.99% (0.184 0.18)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (-0.194 -0.19)46.44% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (-0.149 -0.15)82.06% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 71.97%
    Estonia 10.78%
    Draw 17.25%
SwedenDrawEstonia
2-0 @ 12.31% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.18% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 71.97%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 17.25%
0-1 @ 3.56% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.78%

How you voted: Sweden vs Estonia

Sweden
78.6%
Draw
17.9%
Estonia
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-5
Sweden

Mets (14')
Gyokeres (18'), Kulusevski (24'), Isak (39'), Quaison (75'), Claesson (90+2')
Hien (21')
Mar 31, 2021 4.45pm
Friendlies 1
Sweden
1-0
Estonia
Berg (4')
Sema (61'), Svanberg (80')

Kirss (52'), Purg (73'), Anier (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!