We said: Swansea City 0-1 Leeds United
Fresh off the back of an international break, Leeds should pose a serious threat on the road in South Wales and should have enough to earn a rare away victory.
That being said, Swansea's defence has been one of the best in the Championship in recent times, so we are not expecting the hosts to be blown away on Sunday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.