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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Leeds logo

Bristol City
0 - 0
Leeds


Morrison (85')
FT

Gnonto (40'), Tanaka (51'), Bogle (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Watford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Leeds United

Bristol City certainly have the tools to cause Leeds United problems, but with momentum growing in Daniel Farke's side, we see the visitors being too strong at Ashton Gate and returning to Yorkshire with a third straight three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
30.71% (0.447 0.45) 26.63% (1.066 1.07) 42.67% (-1.51 -1.51)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-3.135 -3.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (-4.155 -4.16)53.91% (4.156 4.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-3.601 -3.6)75.36% (3.602 3.6)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-1.81 -1.81)32.21% (1.811 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-2.103 -2.1)68.7% (2.104 2.1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-2.556 -2.56)25.02% (2.556 2.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-3.677 -3.68)59.69% (3.678 3.68)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 30.71%
    Leeds United 42.66%
    Draw 26.62%
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.999 1)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.17% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.268 -0.27)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.71%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 8.06% (1.23 1.23)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.434 -0.43)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 11.16% (0.97 0.97)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.394 -0.39)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.66%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Leeds

Bristol City
10.1%
Draw
26.6%
Leeds United
63.3%
79
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Dickie (63')
Gnonto (47')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
2-1
Bristol City
James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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