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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Watford logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Watford

Ramazani (4'), Aaronson (7')
Tanaka (38'), Firpo (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baah (47')
Ebosele (35'), Cleverley (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Sheff Utd
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Watford

Given Watford's poor form away form and how candidly Cleverley spoke about his side's struggles on the road, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Additionally, Leeds are in excellent form and have proven difficult to beat this term, and they should be considered favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
66.94% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 18.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.25% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.259 0.26)39.16% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52% (0.271 0.27)61.48% (-0.271 -0.27)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)10.81% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (0.114 0.11)34.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (0.294 0.29)39.84% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (0.269 0.27)76.5% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.93%
    Watford 14.25%
    Draw 18.81%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.9% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.93%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.81%
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 14.25%

How you voted: Leeds vs Watford

Leeds United
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Watford
6.6%
122
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 39
Watford
2-2
Leeds
Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
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30-36
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9.05pm
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@
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9.25pm
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9.25pm
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Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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