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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Empoli logo

Atalanta
3 - 2
Empoli

De Ketelaere (34', 86'), Lookman (45+1')
Zaniolo (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Colombo (13'), Esposito (58' pen.)
D'Aversa (59'), Pezzella (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Cesena
Wednesday, December 18 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

Empoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Torino
Friday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Empoli

 Atalanta have drawn only one of their last 23 Serie A home fixtures - and none since mid-April - while averaging 2.6 goals per game. A clear outcome should be expected, then, and even Empoli's admirable away record cannot help them defeat La Dea. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
72.94% (4.48 4.48) 16.67% (-2.045 -2.05) 10.39% (-2.435 -2.44)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-1.027 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (2.916 2.92)39.19% (-2.915 -2.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (2.988 2.99)61.52% (-2.989 -2.99)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65% (1.903 1.9)9.35% (-1.9021 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.49% (4.324 4.32)31.51% (-4.324 -4.32)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (-2.313 -2.31)46.16% (2.314 2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.15% (-1.849 -1.85)81.84% (1.848 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.92%
    Empoli 10.39%
    Draw 16.67%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.55 -0.55)
3-0 @ 9.57% (1 1)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.332 0.33)
4-0 @ 5.67% (0.989 0.99)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.524 0.52)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.69% (0.642 0.64)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.391 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.103 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.317 0.32)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 72.92%
1-1 @ 7.91% (-0.978 -0.98)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.617 -0.62)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.38 -0.38)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.67%
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.731 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.06% (-0.607 -0.61)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.387 -0.39)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.39%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
88.9%
Draw
7.9%
Empoli
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Atalanta
2-0
Empoli
Pasalic (42' pen.), Lookman (51')
Scalvini (81')

Luperto (24'), Kovalenko (77')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-3
Atalanta

Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')
Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
De Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Ebuehi (44')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
> Preview
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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