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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Atalanta logo

Empoli
0 - 3
Atalanta


Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Empoli
Monday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Atalanta
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Empoli 1-2 Atalanta BC

With just one loss in their last eight outings, Atalanta are beginning to build the consistency that has been lacking over the past couple of years, and the task of taking three points home from Tuscany is well within their grasp. An improved back line allied to more attacking options means that La Dea should have too much firepower for Empoli to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
21.12% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 24.13% (0.16 0.16) 54.74% (-0.237 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.38699999999999 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (-0.565 -0.57)50.98% (0.562 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14% (-0.498 -0.5)72.85% (0.495 0.5)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.248 -0.25)38.75% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (-0.235 -0.23)75.49% (0.232 0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.304 -0.3)18.52% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)49.75% (0.505 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 21.12%
    Atalanta BC 54.73%
    Draw 24.13%
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.12%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 10.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.73%

How you voted: Empoli vs Atalanta

Empoli
15.5%
Draw
15.5%
Atalanta BC
69.0%
129
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
De Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Ebuehi (44')
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli
Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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