Lazio

3 - 2

Atalanta

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.