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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lazio logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
Lazio


Okoli (12'), Soppy (45+1'), Muriel (59')
Muriel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
Cataldi (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lazio

A third straight draw between these sides seems the likeliest outcome, as neither gives much away at the back and they are well-matched in other areas. A fascinating tactical battle between 'Gasp' and Sarri is set to ensue, and fine details could determine the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
49.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 23.8% (-0.032 -0.03) 26.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.06% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)44.44% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (0.086999999999996 0.09)66.81% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.072000000000003 0.07)17.95% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (0.125 0.13)48.77% (-0.127 -0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.67%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.77%
    Lazio 26.43%
    Draw 23.8%
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lazio

Atalanta BC
57.2%
Draw
26.8%
Lazio
15.9%
138
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
2-2
Lazio
Zapata (45+1'), De Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Lazio
Pasalic (79')
Marusic (3'), Correa (51'), Muriqi (82')
Patric (23'), Musacchio (57')
Jan 27, 2021 4.45pm
Atalanta
3-2
Lazio
Djimsiti (7'), Malinovskyi (37'), Miranchuk (57')
Romero (11'), Malinovskyi (16')
Luis Palomino (53')
Muriqi (17'), Acerbi (34')
Patric (22'), Fares (22'), Escalante (57')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
1-4
Atalanta
Caicedo (57')
Marusic (12'), Alberto (26'), Leiva (40'), Cataldi (70'), Acerbi (72'), Caicedo (75'), Immobile (90+4')
Gosens (10'), Hateboer (32'), Papu (41', 61')
Djimsiti (17'), Freuler (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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