Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Oct 23, 2022 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
0 - 2
Lazio

Okoli (12'), Soppy (45+1'), Muriel (59')
Muriel (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
Cataldi (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lazio

A third straight draw between these sides seems the likeliest outcome, as neither gives much away at the back and they are well-matched in other areas. A fascinating tactical battle between 'Gasp' and Sarri is set to ensue, and fine details could determine the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Lazio
49.77% ( 0.1)	23.8% ( -0.03)	26.43% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 57.06% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.55% (

0.09)

44.44% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18% (

0.09)

66.81% (

-0.09)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

0.07)

17.95% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.22% (

0.13)

48.77% (

-0.13)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

-0)

30.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33% (

-0)

66.67%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 49.77%

Lazio 26.43%

Draw 23.8%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.77%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.43%