Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 2, 2022 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Lookman (59')
Scalvini (31'), Hateboer (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bonaventura (4'), Amrabat (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina have been far from convincing thus far, and while Atalanta's standing has been aided by a kind fixture list, the hosts can overcome both their opponents and a dismal home record throughout 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
57.37% ( -0.04)	22.29% ( 0.02)	20.35% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.58% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.8% (

-0.08)

44.19% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.43% (

-0.08)

66.57% (

0.08)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

-0.04)

15.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24% (

-0.08)

43.76% (

0.07)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.33% (

-0.03)

35.67% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.56% (

-0.03)

72.44% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 57.36%

Fiorentina 20.35%

Draw 22.28%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.36%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.28%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.35%