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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49' pen.)
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
66.54%19.41%14.05%
Both teams to score 50.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6%42.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.81%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15%11.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87%37.12%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82%42.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41%78.59%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 66.53%
    Fiorentina 14.05%
    Draw 19.41%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 11.36%
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 6.98%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 3.01%
5-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 66.53%
1-1 @ 9.2%
0-0 @ 5%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.41%
0-1 @ 4.32%
1-2 @ 3.97%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.22%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.05%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
77.0%
Draw
13.3%
Fiorentina
9.7%
113
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
3-0
Fiorentina
Gosens (44'), Malinovskiy (55'), Toloi (63')
Romero (67')

Amrabat (54'), Ribery (80')
Feb 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Fiorentina
1-2
Atalanta
Chiesa (32')
Castrovilli (16'), Vlahovic (60')
Zapata (49'), Malinovskiy (72')
Zapata (27'), Gollini (33')
Jan 15, 2020 2pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
2-1
Atalanta
Cutrone (11'), Lirola (84')
Pezzella (45'), Henrique (81')
Pezzella (70')
Ilicic (67')
Caldara (34'), Djimsiti (50')
Sep 22, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 4
Atalanta
2-2
Fiorentina
Ilicic (84'), Castagne (95')
Pasalic (8'), de Roon (76')
Palomino (24' og.), Ribery (66')
Pezzella (1'), Lirola (46'), Milenkovic (53'), Boateng (88'), Dragowski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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