Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
15.91% | 20.01% | 64.07% |
Both teams to score 53.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% | 41.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% | 63.62% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.09% | 38.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.36% | 75.64% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.82% | 12.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.17% | 37.82% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 4.47% 2-1 @ 4.45% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.91% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 4.74% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.01% | 0-2 @ 10.5% 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.28% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-5 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.61% Total : 64.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |