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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Milan logo

Fiorentina
2 - 3
AC Milan

Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
28.54%23.69%47.77%
Both teams to score 59.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59%42.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.81%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06%17.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24%48.76%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 28.54%
    AC Milan 47.77%
    Draw 23.68%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.01%
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.54%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 5.4%
0-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
AC Milan
58.8%
51
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
AC Milan
1-3
Fiorentina
Leao (80')
Bennacer (13'), Calabria (86')
Musacchio (55')
Pulgar (14' pen.), Castrovilli (66'), Ribery (78')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
0-1
AC Milan

Biraghi (34'), Laurini (67')
Dec 22, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 17
AC Milan
0-1
Fiorentina

Suso (77'), Romagnoli (78'), Laxalt (90')
Chiesa (73')
Pezzella (32'), Hugo (42'), Fernandes (62'), Chiesa (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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