Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
38.55% | 25.28% | 36.17% |
Both teams to score 56.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% | 47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% | 69.24% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.95% | 24.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.68% | 58.32% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% | 25.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% | 60.13% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.55% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.92% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |