Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
33.42% | 26.05% | 40.52% |
Both teams to score 53.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% | 50.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% | 72.66% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% | 28.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% | 64.64% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% | 24.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% | 59.25% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |