Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Crotone |
39.06% | 25.29% | 35.65% |
Both teams to score 56.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% | 47.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% | 69.33% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% | 23.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% | 58% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% | 25.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% | 60.59% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Crotone |
1-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 39.06% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |