Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Dec 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 2
AC Milan

Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	AC Milan
23.53%	22.71%	53.77%

Both teams to score 57.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.77%

42.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.37%

64.63%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38%

31.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97%

68.03%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32%

15.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.27%

44.73%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 23.53%

AC Milan 53.77%

Draw 22.7%

Sampdoria	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 6.09% 1-0 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.68% Total : 23.53%	1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 9.8% 0-1 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 6.05% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.77%