Euro 2024

European Championship | Round of 16

Jul 1, 2024 at 8pm UK

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Portugal
vs.
Slovenia

Data Analysis

Coverage of the European Championship Round of 16 clash between Portugal and Slovenia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Portugal
Wednesday, June 26 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	Turkey	3	0	6
3	Georgia	3	0	4
4	Czech Republic	3	-2	1

Slovenia

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: England 0-0 Slovenia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for Slovenia has a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Slovenia win it is 0-1 (4.4%).

Result
Portugal	Draw	Slovenia
65.49%	19.69%	14.82%

Both teams to score 52.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58%

42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.6%

64.4%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.98%

12.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.51%

37.48%

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.17%

40.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.6%

77.4%

Score Analysis

Portugal 65.48%

Slovenia 14.82%

Draw 19.69%

Portugal	Draw	Slovenia
2-0 @ 11.01% 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 4.12% 4-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 3.12% 5-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.57% Total : 65.48%	1-1 @ 9.31% 0-0 @ 4.91% 2-2 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.69%	0-1 @ 4.4% 1-2 @ 4.17% 0-2 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.72% Total : 14.82%