Friendlies 1
Jun 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Portugal4 - 2Finland
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Portugal and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Tuesday's international friendly with Finland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 Portugal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Finland 2-1 Estonia
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
We said: Portugal 3-0 Finland
Portugal have an embarrassment of riches all over the park, and we are expecting them to have too much for Finland on Tuesday evening, with Ronaldo potentially on the scoresheet in a comfortable success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Finland win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Finland |
66.15% ( -2.38) | 18.84% ( 0.91) | 15.01% ( 1.47) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.38% ( -1) | 37.62% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.14% ( -1.08) | 59.85% ( 1.08) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.42% ( -0.86) | 10.58% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.65% ( -1.97) | 34.35% ( 1.97) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( 1.39) | 37.83% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.4% ( 1.32) | 74.6% ( -1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Portugal 66.14%
Finland 15.01%
Draw 18.85%
| Portugal | Draw | Finland |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.28)5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.19)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.73% Total : 66.14% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.85% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.01% |
How you voted: Portugal vs Finland
Portugal
92.8%Draw
4.2%Finland
3.0%166
Form Guide
