Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Portugal2 - 0Iceland
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bergmann Johannesson (28'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (32'), Thor Willumsson (46'), Berg Gudmundsson (54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Portugal and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in their Euro 2024 qualification clash with Iceland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Portugal
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 9 | 32 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 9 | -7 | 14 |
| 4 | Iceland | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 9 | -26 | 0 |
Last Game: Slovakia 4-2 Iceland
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 9 | 32 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 9 | -7 | 14 |
| 4 | Iceland | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 9 | -26 | 0 |
We said: Portugal 2-0 Iceland
The pressure is off for both teams, so it should be an open and entertaining game of football. Iceland are capable of making it a difficult match for Portugal, but the home side have been so strong in this section, and we would be very surprised if they were unable to make it 10 straight victories. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Portugal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Iceland |
74.36% ( 0.05) | 15.5% ( -0.02) | 10.15% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.94% ( -0.01) | 34.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.06% ( -0) | 55.94% ( 0) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.22% ( 0.01) | 7.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.35% ( 0.02) | 27.65% ( -0.02) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.91% ( -0.06) | 43.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.63% ( -0.05) | 79.37% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Portugal 74.36%
Iceland 10.15%
Draw 15.5%
| Portugal | Draw | Iceland |
| 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 74.36% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.5% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.15% |
How you voted: Portugal vs Iceland
Portugal
88.9%Draw
9.5%Iceland
1.6%63
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Iceland
0-1
Portugal
Gudmundsson (45'), Finnbogason (45+1'), Thor Willumsson (70'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (74')
Thor Willumsson (80')
Jun 14, 2016 8pm
Form Guide
