![San Marino national football team San Marino national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/sanmlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
![Finland national football team Finland national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/finlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
San Marino1 - 2Finland
Berardi (90+7' pen.)
Vitaioli (24'), Tosi (56'), Capicchioni (68'), Battistini (90+1'), Zafferani (90+4')
Vitaioli (24'), Tosi (56'), Capicchioni (68'), Battistini (90+1'), Zafferani (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kazakhstan 3-1 San Marino
Friday, November 17 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, November 17 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Denmark | 9 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Slovenia | 9 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Kazakhstan | 9 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Finland | 9 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Northern Ireland | 9 | -6 | 6 |
6 | San Marino | 9 | -27 | 0 |
Last Game: Finland 4-0 N. Ireland
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Denmark | 9 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Slovenia | 9 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Kazakhstan | 9 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Finland | 9 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Northern Ireland | 9 | -6 | 6 |
6 | San Marino | 9 | -27 | 0 |
We said: San Marino 0-4 Finland
A fixture against the group minnows should boost morale and help Finland to go out on a high before entering the playoffs, and their last 12 qualifying wins have seen them keep a clean sheet on each occasion and San Marino are unlikely to threaten ending that record. The hosts are cut adrift and will just be targeting a goal or a 0-0 draw to round off another luckless campaign for the minnows, but both are unlikely. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 93.79%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 1.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (13.7%) and 0-2 (12.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.28%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (0.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.
Result | ||
San Marino | Draw | Finland |
1.28% (![]() | 4.93% (![]() | 93.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 28.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.12% (![]() | 23.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.55% (![]() | 43.44% (![]() |
San Marino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
28.75% (![]() | 71.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
4.6% (![]() | 95.4% (![]() |
Finland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.41% (![]() | 2.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.97% (![]() | 12.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
San Marino 1.28%
Finland 93.78%
Draw 4.93%
San Marino | Draw | Finland |
Other @ 1.28% Total : 1.28% | 1-1 @ 2.28% (![]() 0-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 4.93% | 0-3 @ 14.99% (![]() 0-4 @ 13.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 12.3% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 10.01% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 0-7 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 0-8 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-7 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 4.85% Total : 93.78% |
How you voted: San Marino vs Finland
San Marino
22.2%Draw
13.9%Finland
63.9%36
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-01 08:56:45
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
![Arsenal transfer rumours: Who could join this summer? Rating every possible signing Arsenal transfer rumours: Who could join this summer? Rating every possible signing](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Arsenal transfer rumours: Who could join this summer? Rating every possible signing
2
![Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Portugal vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups
3
![Liverpool 'prepared' to make £50m player-plus-cash offer for Gordon Liverpool 'prepared' to make £50m player-plus-cash offer for Gordon](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Liverpool 'prepared' to make £50m player-plus-cash offer for Gordon
4
![Sancho staying or going? Chelsea, Arsenal 'respond' to Man United offer Sancho staying or going? Chelsea, Arsenal 'respond' to Man United offer](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Sancho staying or going? Chelsea, Arsenal 'respond' to Man United offer
5
![Arsenal transfer rumours: Who could leave this summer? Rating every possible exit Arsenal transfer rumours: Who could leave this summer? Rating every possible exit](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Arsenal transfer rumours: Who could leave this summer? Rating every possible exit
6
![Chelsea 'consider' Alexander Isak swap deal amid £115m claim Chelsea 'consider' Alexander Isak swap deal amid £115m claim](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Chelsea 'consider' Alexander Isak swap deal amid £115m claim
7
![France vs. Belgium - prediction, team news, lineups France vs. Belgium - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
France vs. Belgium - prediction, team news, lineups
8
![Club-record deal confirmed: Chelsea announce £22m sale of 20-year-old Club-record deal confirmed: Chelsea announce £22m sale of 20-year-old](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Club-record deal confirmed: Chelsea announce £22m sale of 20-year-old
9
![Spain vs. Georgia - prediction, team news, lineups Spain vs. Georgia - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Spain vs. Georgia - prediction, team news, lineups
10
![Monday's Euro 2024 predictions including France vs. Belgium Monday's Euro 2024 predictions including France vs. Belgium](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Monday's Euro 2024 predictions including France vs. Belgium
![As featured on NewsNow: Sport news As featured on NewsNow: Sport news](https://sm.imgix.net/12/40/newsnow_f_ab.gif?w=160&h=50)
Sport News 24/7