MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:29:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 22, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Augsburg logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Augsburg

Kane (63' pen., 90+3' pen., 90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, November 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Augsburg

While Bayern have only won by narrow margins in their last two games, they have been rampant in front of goal all season, and it would not be surprising if they netted multiple times. Given the hosts will not be able to select a specialist defensive midfielder, Augsburg could create chances in transition, but the Bavarians should still come into Friday's clash as strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.36%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 4-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
83.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 10.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.59% (0.030999999999992 0.03)24.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)44.14% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)4.2% (-0.0071000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.62% (0.014000000000003 0.01)45.38% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76% (0.012 0.01)81.23% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 83.36%
    Augsburg 5.99%
    Draw 10.65%
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
3-0 @ 10.12%
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 8%
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 5.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-1 @ 4.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-1 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
7-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
7-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 83.36%
1-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 10.65%
1-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 5.99%

How you voted: Bayern vs Augsburg

Bayern Munich
90.7%
Draw
6.4%
Augsburg
2.9%
140
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Augsburg
2-3
Bayern
Demirovic (52', 90+4' pen.)
Mbabu (19'), Iago (69')
Pavlovic (23'), Davies (45+5'), Kane (58')
de Ligt (6'), Pavlovic (67'), Sane (80'), Guerreiro (90+6'), Goretzka (90+7'), Neuer (90+8')
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-1
Augsburg
Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')
Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
5-3
Augsburg
Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
Berisha (2', 60'), Cardona (90+3')
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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