Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig4 - 0Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 Augsburg
While Leipzig have been poor in front of goal this season, it would be surprising if they failed to score for a third consecutive league match. Considering Augsburg's worrying top-flight record recently, they could struggle to get back into the game if the hosts were to score first. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
59.11% ( 0.03) | 20.88% ( -0.02) | 20.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.87% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
