MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:31:31| >> :600:699998:699998:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion Essen
Leipzig logo

RWE
1 - 4
RB Leipzig

Safi (2')
Enrique Rios Alonso (47'), Arslan (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sesko (12'), Openda (40'), Nusa (84'), Simons (88')
Henrichs (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Rot-Weiss Essen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Essen

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: RWE 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 26 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 PSG
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Rot-Weiss Essen 1-4 RB Leipzig

 Given Leipzig's strong showing in the DFB-Pokal in recent seasons, it would be surprising to see them exit the competition on Saturday. Additionally, if boss Rose names a strong XI as he did against Paris Saint-Germain, they could comfortably progress into the next round ahead of Rot-Weiss Essen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawRB Leipzig
18.5% (1.201 1.2) 19.6% (0.456 0.46) 61.9% (-1.655 -1.65)
Both teams to score 60.83% (0.793 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.53% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)34.47% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.6% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.4% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Rot-Weiss Essen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (1.218 1.22)31.84% (-1.217 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (1.374 1.37)68.28% (-1.371 -1.37)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)10.75% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.27% (-0.98899999999999 -0.99)34.74% (0.991 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Rot-Weiss Essen 18.5%
    RB Leipzig 61.9%
    Draw 19.6%
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5% (0.255 0.26)
1-0 @ 3.92% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 2.24% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 18.5%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.186 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.6%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.51% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 7.24% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 6.33% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-3 @ 4.14% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 4.04% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-4 @ 3.53% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-4 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-5 @ 1.57% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.9%

How you voted: RWE vs RB Leipzig

Rot-Weiss Essen
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RB Leipzig
100%
5
rhs 2.0
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