Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig
Friday's game has the potential to be high-scoring, with Hoffenheim failing to keep a clean sheet in 26 league matches and Leipzig conceding in 12 consecutive road games in the Bundesliga.
Leipzig are backed to continue their fine form in a match they enter as favourites, having defeated Hoffenheim in five straight matches in all competitions, losing once in 13 previous games against Die Kraichgauer.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98% . A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%) . The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood .
Result Hoffenheim Draw RB Leipzig 29.14% ( 0.57) 19.88% ( -0.31) 50.98% ( -0.26)
Both teams to score 74.08% ( 1.71)
76.72% ( 1.98) 23.27% ( -1.98)
57.37% ( 2.62) 42.63% ( -2.63)
82.29% ( 1.35) 17.71% ( -1.35)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.63% ( 2.28) 48.36% ( -2.28)
90.03% ( 0.61) 9.97% ( -0.62)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 67.04% ( 1.4) 32.95% ( -1.4)
Hoffenheim 29.14%
RB Leipzig 50.98%
Draw 19.88%
Hoffenheim Draw RB Leipzig 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.61% Total : 29.14% 1-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.88% 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.18) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.12) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 50.98%
How you voted: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig
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rhs 2.0
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