MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 07:11:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
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Mainz
4 - 1
Hoffenheim

Burkardt (47'), Mwene (51'), Gruda (63'), Onisiwo (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaderabek (19')
Promel (39'), Kabak (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Hoffenheim

 While Mainz have struggled for consistency for the majority of the season, they are unbeaten at home under Bo Henriksen and won their last two games without conceding. Matches involving these two sides have not been short of goals of late and we are expecting another high-scoring encounter here, though we feel that there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
62.43% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 20.17%17.39% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (0.035000000000004 0.04)61.52% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.5% (0.007000000000005 0.01)37.49% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (0.045000000000002 0.05)35.89% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (0.046000000000003 0.05)72.67% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 62.43%
    Hoffenheim 17.39%
    Draw 20.17%
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.62% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 62.43%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.17%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Mainz vs Hoffenheim

Mainz 05
48.3%
Draw
27.6%
Hoffenheim
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
1-1
Mainz
Skov (48')
Kramaric (25'), Brooks (30'), Kabak (32'), Promel (44')
Richter (39')
Fernandes (25'), Caci (29'), Richter (68'), Mwene (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Mainz
1-0
Hoffenheim
Barreiro (33')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
4-1
Mainz
Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')
Kohr (83')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
2-0
Hoffenheim
Jae-sung (79'), Niakhate (83' pen.)

Hubner (17'), Rutter (74')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
0-2
Mainz

Gacinovic (39'), Vogt (70')
Burkardt (21'), Ingvartsen (77')
Hack (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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