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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Mainz
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Burkardt (12')
Barreiro (50'), Henriksen (57'), Kohr (58'), Mwene (81'), Amiri (90+3')
Kohr (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
N'Goumou (55')
N'Goumou (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Neither side is in positive form, and the spoils could be shared at the home of the strugglers this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
54.72% (-0.182 -0.18) 22.05% (0.188 0.19) 23.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.57% (-0.667 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (-0.878 -0.88)39.54% (0.889 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (-0.922 -0.92)61.88% (0.933 0.93)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (-0.352 -0.35)14.43% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.64% (-0.699 -0.7)42.36% (0.711 0.71)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (-0.482 -0.48)30.39% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (-0.583 -0.58)66.59% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 54.72%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 23.23%
    Draw 22.05%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.179 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Mainz vs Borussia M'bach

Mainz 05
29.6%
Draw
48.1%
Borussia Monchengladbach
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Borussia M'bach
2-2
Mainz
Neuhaus (22'), Scally (88')
Itakura (56'), Kone (81'), Hack (82')
Gruda (24'), Barkok (75')
Bell (66')
Feb 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Jae-sung (25'), Ingvartsen (49'), Ajorque (72'), Weiper (90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Mainz
Embolo (33')
Embolo (10'), Ginter (28')
Onisiwo (73')
Barreiro (40')
Nov 5, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Mainz
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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