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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
54.72% ( -0.18) | 22.05% ( 0.19) | 23.23% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.57% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% ( -0.88) | 39.54% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.12% ( -0.92) | 61.88% ( 0.93) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% ( -0.35) | 14.43% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.64% ( -0.7) | 42.36% ( 0.71) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% ( -0.48) | 30.39% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.41% ( -0.58) | 66.59% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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