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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 80.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 7.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.49%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.19%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
80.9% ( 0.09) | 11.11% ( 0.06) | 7.99% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 63.57% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.21% ( -0.95) | 17.79% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
65.13% ( -1.43) | 34.87% ( 1.43) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.62% ( -0.16) | 3.37% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.19% ( -0.54) | 14.8% ( 0.54) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% ( -1.24) | 34.21% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( -1.35) | 70.91% ( 1.35) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.37) 4-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 6-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 7-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 7-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 5.06% Total : 80.9% | 1-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.41% Total : 11.11% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.14% Total : 7.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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