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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
35.66% ( -0.13) | 24.21% ( -0.07) | 40.12% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 60.49% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.93% ( 0.31) | 42.06% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% ( 0.31) | 64.46% ( -0.31) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.07) | 23.34% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% ( 0.1) | 57.3% ( -0.11) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( 0.22) | 21.08% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( 0.35) | 53.9% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
9 | Heidenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
16 | St Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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