MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:44:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 21
Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
3 - 0
Tamworth

Gilmour (73'), Gordon (80'), Rodney (87')
Barlow (59'), East (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tonks (68'), Crompton (70')
Cullinane-Liburd (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Rochdale and Tamworth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League

Tamworth

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 York City
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Tamworth

 Tamworth are capable of making this a tricky match for Rochdale, and we are not expecting it to be a routine home success for the Dale, but McNulty's side should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawTamworth
53.64% (-0.316 -0.32) 23.27% (0.442 0.44) 23.08% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.21% (-1.642 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (-2.101 -2.1)45.22% (2.099 2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.44% (-2.043 -2.04)67.56% (2.041 2.04)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (-0.864 -0.86)16.79% (0.863 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (-1.565 -1.57)46.76% (1.563 1.56)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-1.271 -1.27)33.65% (1.269 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-1.408 -1.41)70.3% (1.406 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 53.64%
    Tamworth 23.08%
    Draw 23.27%
RochdaleDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.605 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.291 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 5.35% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.215 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.493 0.49)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.339 0.34)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Tamworth

Rochdale
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Tamworth
8.3%
12
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379
> National League Full Table


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