Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
37.51% ( -0.03) | 24.4% ( -0.03) | 38.09% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( 0.13) | 42.82% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.77% ( 0.13) | 65.23% ( -0.13) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( 0.05) | 22.72% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.62% ( 0.06) | 56.38% ( -0.06) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( 0.09) | 22.42% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( 0.13) | 55.94% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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