Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
37.51% ( -0.03) | 24.4% ( -0.03) | 38.09% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( 0.13) | 42.82% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.77% ( 0.13) | 65.23% ( -0.13) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( 0.05) | 22.72% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.62% ( 0.06) | 56.38% ( -0.06) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( 0.09) | 22.42% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( 0.13) | 55.94% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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