MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:12:35| >> :600:388142:388142:
Sutton United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Birmingham logo

Sutton
0 - 1
Birmingham


Sivi (10'), Barbrook (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thor Willumsson (34')
Allsop (15'), Laird (58'), Anderson (62'), Cochrane (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Sutton United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Birmingham 7-1 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Birmingham City

Despite the gulf in class between the two sides, Sutton are likely to make the contest a challenging one for League One leaders Birmingham. Blues will be able to control the ball on the artificial surface at Gander Green Lane and should earn safe passage into the second round if they can avoid a full-blown battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Sutton United win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawBirmingham City
20.11% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.85% (-0.07 -0.07) 58.03% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.247 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (0.318 0.32)42.58% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01% (0.317 0.32)64.99% (-0.315 -0.31)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.19500000000001 0.2)34.98% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.202 0.2)71.72% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.6% (0.126 0.13)14.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.69% (0.241 0.24)42.31% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 20.11%
    Birmingham City 58.03%
    Draw 21.85%
Sutton UnitedDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.89% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.11%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.11% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.96% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.15% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.03%

How you voted: Sutton vs Birmingham

Sutton United
17.3%
Draw
9.6%
Birmingham City
73.1%
52
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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