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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bolton logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bolton

Iwata (3'), Stansfield (86' pen.)
Klarer (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dempsey (18'), Cogley (24'), Matete (39'), McAtee (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Bolton Wanderers

Birmingham have taken 25 points from a possible 30 in League One this season, and while Bolton have put together a five-game unbeaten league run, we think that the hosts will showcase their quality to claim a fifth consecutive home victory in the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBolton Wanderers
42.46% (-0.881 -0.88) 24.56% (0.108 0.11) 32.97% (0.78 0.78)
Both teams to score 58.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (-0.231 -0.23)44.33% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)66.71% (0.233 0.23)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.49499999999999 -0.49)20.97% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (-0.783 -0.78)53.72% (0.79000000000001 0.79)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.364 0.36)25.95% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.485 0.48)60.96% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 42.46%
    Bolton Wanderers 32.97%
    Draw 24.56%
Birmingham CityDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.15 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.09 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.97%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bolton

Birmingham City
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Bolton Wanderers
22.2%
81
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-1
Bolton

Harding (60')
Connolly (71')
Connolly (69'), Noone (96')
Aug 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
1-0
Birmingham
Buckley (73')
Buckley (75'), Olkowski (87')

Kieftenbeld (14'), Gardner (71'), Pedersen (83')
Apr 3, 2018 8pm
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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