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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Birmingham
3 - 1
Wrexham

Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Wrexham

The two sides will both head into Monday's game with aspirations of claiming maximum points, but we think that the two in-form sides could cancel one another out which may result in the spoils being shared at St. Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
51.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 23.09% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 25.6% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.183 -0.18)41.96% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.184 -0.18)64.36% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.101 -0.1)16.45% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-0.181 -0.18)46.13% (0.182 0.18)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)29.78% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.86% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 51.31%
    Wrexham 25.6%
    Draw 23.09%
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wrexham

Birmingham City
42.2%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
33.8%
204
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
8Barnsley104331515015
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
10Stevenage1042487114
11Peterborough UnitedPeterborough104241618-214
12Exeter CityExeter841396313
13Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
14Reading84131212013
15Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
16Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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