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Scottish Premiership
Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee
2 - 3
Kilmarnock

Larkeche (24'), Adewumi (81')
Sylla (30'), Murray (38')
Sylla (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kennedy (86', 90+4'), Anderson (88')
Mayo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-3 Dundee Utd
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 1-2 Kilmarnock

 Both teams have struggled to secure victories in the early stages of the campaign, but with Dundee losing their last three matches, their confidence is likely to be low heading into this one. In contrast, Kilmarnock came very close to their first win in their previous outing, which could boost their spirits going into this match, suggesting a win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
51.45% (0.952 0.95) 23.1% (-0.517 -0.52) 25.46% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 58.52% (1.338 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (1.971 1.97)42.08% (-1.966 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (1.948 1.95)64.49% (-1.944 -1.94)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (1.081 1.08)16.44% (-1.077 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88% (1.914 1.91)46.12% (-1.91 -1.91)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.708 0.71)29.97% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.844 0.84)66.08% (-0.839 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 51.45%
    Kilmarnock 25.46%
    Draw 23.09%
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.465 -0.47)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.229 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.203 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.144 0.14)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.45%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.138 0.14)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.447 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.413 -0.41)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 25.46%

How you voted: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee
50.0%
Draw
15.0%
Kilmarnock
35.0%
20
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Dundee
1-1
Kilmarnock
McCowan (37')
Main (72')
Mackay-Steven (24')
Wright (49'), Deas (76')
Deas (85')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Dennis (11' og.), McCowan (63' pen.)
Beck (39'), A (90+4')
Watkins (35')
Vassell (49'), Ndaba (67'), Deas (90+2'), van Veen (90+7'), van Veen (90+7')
Mayo (60')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
2-0
Dundee
Vassell (1'), Watkins (3')
Watkins (42')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-2
Dundee
Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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