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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Dundee

Vassell (1'), Watkins (3')
Watkins (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee

All competitions
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee
46.02%25.16%28.82%
Both teams to score 54.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25%48.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15%70.85%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8%21.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91%54.09%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09%30.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8%67.2%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 46.02%
    Dundee 28.82%
    Draw 25.15%
KilmarnockDrawDundee
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.82%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-2
Dundee
Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
> Preview
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')
> Match Report
May 20, 2021 8.15pm
Final 1st Leg
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')
> Match Report
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Nelson (8', 20')
McGowan (7'), Horsfield (88')
McAleny (18'), Burke (54')
Tshibola (14'), Dicker (31')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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