World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Wales3 - 1Kazakhstan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Iceland
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Curacao
Wednesday, March 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, March 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Wales 2-0 Kazakhstan
While Wales do not score freely and have key men missing, they should still see off Kazakhstan, who simply cannot buy a win in World Cup qualifying. With one eye on a tough trip to Skopje next week, the Dragons will aim to get the job done swiftly before conserving some valuable energy. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 86.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 3.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.63%) and 1-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.49%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Kazakhstan |
86.97% ( 1.29) | 9.75% ( -0.88) | 3.28% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 32.56% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.04% ( 2) | 35.96% ( -2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.94% ( 2.17) | 58.06% ( -2.17) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.36% ( 0.64) | 5.64% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 78.15% ( 1.81) | 21.85% ( -1.81) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.5% ( -0.66) | 65.5% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 6.78% ( -0.28) | 93.21% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Wales 86.94%
Kazakhstan 3.28%
Draw 9.75%
| Wales | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 2-0 @ 15.26% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 14.63% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.65)4-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.56)2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.54)4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.14)6-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.36)5-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.13)7-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 86.94% | 1-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 9.75% | 0-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.77% Total : 3.28% |
How you voted: Wales vs Kazakhstan
Wales
86.7%Draw
8.0%Kazakhstan
5.3%75
