We said: Austria 3-0 Kazakhstan
Although they have shown signs of improvement, Kazakhstan still occupy 109th place in FIFA's world rankings and are yet to score a goal at League B level.
After making a lacklustre start in September, Austria should be sufficiently motivated to move through the gears and claim maximum points on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.