MX23RW : Wednesday, March 26 12:29:08| >> :60:194:194:
Azerbaijan national football team
Friendlies 2
Jun 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Kazakhstan national football team

Azerbaijan
3 - 2
Kazakhstan

Madatov (42'), Mahmudov (51' pen.), Bayramov (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Vorogovskiy (2'), Samorodov (28')
Kassym (71'), Kuat (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Albania 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, June 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Kazakhstan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Armenia 2-1 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Azerbaijan 1-1 Kazakhstan

 There has not actually been a draw between these two sides since September 2006, with their last six meetings producing a winner. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away success here, but we are predicting a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawKazakhstan
59.23% (3.228 3.23) 23.46% (-1.082 -1.08) 17.31% (-2.142 -2.14)
Both teams to score 45.77% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (1.21 1.21)53.27% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18% (1.017 1.02)74.82% (-1.013 -1.01)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (1.66 1.66)17.7% (-1.656 -1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (2.795 2.8)48.36% (-2.792 -2.79)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.62% (-1.831 -1.83)44.38% (1.834 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56% (-1.525 -1.53)80.44% (1.529 1.53)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 59.22%
    Kazakhstan 17.31%
    Draw 23.46%
AzerbaijanDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.77% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.8% (0.719 0.72)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.328 0.33)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.447 0.45)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.258 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.2 0.2)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.22%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.5 -0.5)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.656 -0.66)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.449 -0.45)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.415 -0.42)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 17.31%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan
60.3%
Draw
22.1%
Kazakhstan
17.6%
68
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 5pm
League C
Azerbaijan
3-0
Kazakhstan
Marochkin (67' og.), Ozobic (74'), Nuriev (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2022 3pm
League C
Kazakhstan
2-0
Azerbaijan
Aymbetov (50', 60')
Marochkin (36'), Akhmetov (38'), Kuat (90+4')

Silvestre (90+2')
> Preview
Jun 5, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Kazakhstan
3-0
Azerbaijan
Murtazayev (13'), Muzhikov (14'), Zainutdinov (90')
Tunggyshbayev (48'), Zhukov (90')

Khalilzade (35')
rhs 2.0
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