Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Slovenia2 - 1Kazakhstan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Slovenia
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 9 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Finland | 9 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 9 | -27 | 0 |
Last Game: Kazakhstan 3-1 San Marino
Friday, November 17 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, November 17 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 9 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Finland | 9 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 9 | -27 | 0 |
We said: Slovenia 3-1 Kazakhstan
Despite a potentially tense affair being on the cards for hosts Slovenia, knowing they only need to avoid defeat may settle the side down slightly after defeat on Friday. Having come so close, Kazakhstan will be devastated if they are to fall at the final hurdle, but against a side who beat them at home earlier in the campaign, it may be just too much to ask for the dark horses in Group H. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Kazakhstan |
57.15% ( 0.43) | 23.84% ( -0.19) | 19.01% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.61% ( 0.4) | 52.39% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( 0.34) | 74.07% ( -0.34) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( 0.31) | 18.14% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.89% ( 0.52) | 49.11% ( -0.52) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.05) | 41.84% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.71% ( -0.04) | 78.29% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Slovenia 57.13%
Kazakhstan 19.01%
Draw 23.84%
| Slovenia | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.13% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.01% |
How you voted: Slovenia vs Kazakhstan
Slovenia
70.4%Draw
17.3%Kazakhstan
12.3%81
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
