MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 23:58:31| >> :600:3386385:3386385:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Denmark national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parken
Slovenia national football team

Denmark
2 - 1
Slovenia

Maehle (26'), Delaney (54')
Norgaard (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Janza (30')
Elsnik (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Denmark and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 1-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Slovenia

All competitions
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Slovenia
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Denmark 2-1 Slovenia

 Denmark have been far from convincing throughout this qualification campaign, as shown during the fixture with San Marino. Nevertheless, home advantage could prove key on Friday, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory over their group rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result
DenmarkDrawSlovenia
62.88% (-2.163 -2.16) 21.87% (0.622 0.62) 15.24% (1.536 1.54)
Both teams to score 46.13% (1.839 1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.435 0.43)50.46% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.381 0.38)72.39% (-0.387 -0.39)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.556 -0.56)15.47% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65% (-1.044 -1.04)44.34% (1.039 1.04)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.57% (2.515 2.52)45.42% (-2.519 -2.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.73% (1.915 1.92)81.27% (-1.92 -1.92)
Score Analysis
    Denmark 62.87%
    Slovenia 15.24%
    Draw 21.87%
DenmarkDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-0 @ 12.23% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.597 -0.6)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.353 -0.35)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.152 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 62.87%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.312 0.31)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.87%
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.287 0.29)
1-2 @ 4.08% (0.407 0.41)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.255 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 1% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 15.24%

How you voted: Denmark vs Slovenia

Denmark
73.1%
Draw
17.9%
Slovenia
9.0%
78
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-1
Denmark
Sporar (25')
Brekalo (75')
Hojlund (42')
Jorgensen (69')
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