We said: Denmark 2-1 Slovenia
Denmark have been far from convincing throughout this qualification campaign, as shown during the fixture with San Marino. Nevertheless, home advantage could prove key on Friday, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory over their group rivals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.
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