Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Belgium3 - 0Ukraine
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ukraine 3-1 Belgium
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Italy | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Belgium | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 6 | -8 | 4 |
Last Game: Ukraine 3-1 Belgium
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Belgium 2-1 Ukraine (Ukraine win 4-3 on aggregate)
An ageing and disjointed Belgium squad may secure victory on the night, but Ukraine will bravely resist a two-goal loss and win the tie overall. The visitors have found some form in recent months, so they can now slay the Red Devils and celebrate promotion back to League A. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Ukraine |
56.03% ( -0.17) | 23.02% ( 0.05) | 20.94% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.07) | 46.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.07) | 68.89% ( 0.06) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( -0.08) | 16.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.15) | 46.15% ( 0.15) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.08) | 36.45% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.76% ( 0.08) | 73.23% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Belgium 56.03%
Ukraine 20.94%
Draw 23.02%
| Belgium | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.03% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.94% |
How you voted: Belgium vs Ukraine
Belgium
74.5%Draw
6.1%Ukraine
19.4%98
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2024 5pm
