Nations League | League A
Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Belgium0 - 1Italy
The Match
Match Report
Sandro Tonali scores the only goal as Italy reach the UEFA Nations League quarter-finals thanks to a 1-0 win away in Belgium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 France
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | France | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Italy had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Italy win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Italy |
51.11% ( 1.1) | 24.88% ( -0.19) | 24% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% ( -0.01) | 51.07% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( -0) | 72.93% ( 0) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( 0.45) | 19.98% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.84% ( 0.72) | 52.15% ( -0.72) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( -0.81) | 36.05% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.17% ( -0.83) | 72.83% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
Belgium 51.1%
Italy 24%
Draw 24.88%
| Belgium | Draw | Italy |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.1% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.89% Total : 24% |
How you voted: Belgium vs Italy
Belgium
24.2%Draw
27.9%Italy
47.9%376
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Italy
2-2
Belgium
Oct 10, 2021 2pm
Third-Place Final
Italy
2-1
Belgium
Jun 13, 2016 8pm
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
3-1
Italy
Form Guide
Build-up
Belgium lineup vs. Italy: Predicted XI for UEFA Nations League clash, as De Bruyne and Tielemans miss out
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
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Italy lineup vs. Belgium: Predicted XI for UEFA Nations League clash, as Calafiori and Chiesa miss out
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash with Belgium.
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