Nations League | League A
Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
France1 - 3Italy
Reaction
Arsenal handed new North London derby concern as defender sustains freak injury
Arsenal defender Riccardo Calafiori is forced off with an injury in Italy's Nations League clash with France, nine days before the North London derby.
199 days ago
Arsenal's Riccardo Calafiori 'out' of national team - will he be fit for Tottenham?
Arsenal defender Riccardo Calafiori reportedly withdraws from the Italy squad following the calf injury he sustained against France on Friday evening.
197 days ago
The Match
Match Report
Italy recover from an early setback to record a 3-1 victory over France in their opening game of the 2024-25 UEFA Nations League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between France and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Friday's Nations League clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spain 2-1 France
Tuesday, July 9 at 8pm in European Championship
Tuesday, July 9 at 8pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Italy had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Italy win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Italy |
56.96% ( -0.41) | 25.12% ( 0.19) | 17.92% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 42.43% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( -0.4) | 58.34% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( -0.31) | 78.96% ( 0.31) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.32) | 20.5% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.01% ( -0.51) | 52.99% ( 0.5) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.37% ( 0.02) | 46.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.8% ( 0.02) | 82.2% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
France 56.95%
Italy 17.92%
Draw 25.11%
| France | Draw | Italy |
| 1-0 @ 15.14% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.95% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.92% |
How you voted: France vs Italy
France
76.1%Draw
15.2%Italy
8.6%243
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2018 8pm
International Friendlies
France
3-1
Italy
Sep 1, 2016 8pm
Nov 14, 2012 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
1-2
France
Jul 9, 2006 7pm
Jul 2, 2000 7pm
Final
France
2-1
Italy
Form Guide
Build-up
France lineup vs. Italy: Predicted XI for UEFA Nations League match
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Friday's Nations League clash with Italy.
201 days ago
Italy lineup vs. France: Predicted XI for UEFA Nations League match
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Friday's Nations League clash with France.
201 days ago
