European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Italy2 - 1Albania
The Match
Match Report
Italy bounce back from an early setback to record a 2-1 victory over Albania in their Euro 2024 opener on Saturday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Italy and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 clash with Albania.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Italy 1-0 Bosnia H'vina
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Albania had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Albania |
54.77% ( -0.02) | 23.83% | 21.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( 0.02) | 49.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( 0.02) | 71.48% ( -0.02) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0) | 17.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.25% ( -0) | 48.75% ( 0) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.39% ( 0.03) | 37.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.61% ( 0.03) | 74.38% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Italy 54.76%
Albania 21.39%
Draw 23.83%
| Italy | Draw | Albania |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.39% |
How you voted: Italy vs Albania
Italy
82.3%Draw
8.5%Albania
9.3%626
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 9, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 24, 2017 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
How Italy could line up against Albania
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 clash with Albania.
290 days ago
How Albania could line up against Italy
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Albania could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 clash with Italy.
290 days ago
