MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:15:27| >> :600:2159801:2159801:
Ukraine national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj
Italy national football team

Ukraine
0 - 0
Italy


Konoplya (79')
FT

The Match

Match Report

Holders Italy qualify for Euro 2024 despite playing out a 0-0 draw with Ukraine, who are consigned to the playoffs.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Ukraine and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Ukraine could line up in Monday's Euro 2024 qualifier with Italy.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Malta 1-3 Ukraine
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England71819
2Italy7713
3Ukraine7313
4North Macedonia7-107
5Malta8-180
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Italy 5-2 N. Macedonia
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England71819
2Italy7713
3Ukraine7313
4North Macedonia7-107
5Malta8-180

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Italy had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Italy win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
UkraineDrawItaly
42.2% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49) 26.26% (0.122 0.12) 31.53% (0.367 0.37)
Both teams to score 52.3% (-0.24 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.378 -0.38)52.17% (0.377 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.326 -0.33)73.89% (0.32599999999999 0.33)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)24.48% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (-0.583 -0.58)58.93% (0.58300000000001 0.58)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.061000000000007 0.06)30.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.073 0.07)67% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 42.2%
    Italy 31.53%
    Draw 26.26%
UkraineDrawItaly
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.2%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.53%

How you voted: Ukraine vs Italy

Ukraine
26.2%
Draw
21.4%
Italy
52.4%
168
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Italy
2-1
Ukraine
Frattesi (12', 29')
Yarmolenko (41')
Mykolenko (38'), Konoplya (62'), Stepanenko (76'), Zabarnyi (78')
Oct 10, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
1-1
Ukraine
Bernardeschi (55')
Verratti (51'), Chiesa (90')
Malinovskiy (62')
Rakitskiy (36'), Burda (47')
rhs 2.0
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